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September 2011 (201109) DynaPred Seasonal Model Predictions are presented here as opened GIF files; JPG, other files available upon request. For two months after release also directly downloadable under What's New ).  Temperature is presented first, then precipitation, each followed by narrative description.  The Press Release follows with selectable text classifying US states into Above Average, Near Average, or Below Average.  Several states are descriptively subdivided as pattern contrasts suggest.  Interested in future months or additional detail? Product Sales information is available at Home or Services pages.  More detailed examples, including site specific or regional (Oregon Coastal Precipitation), are in Predictions.

201109 temperatures predict Above Average for southern Great Plains and high average to Above Average for the continental US east of the Continental Divide.  Only interior Southwest shows spotted coolness. 

 

temp212_201109R1-32

September 2011 precipitation predicts continued dryness for Great Basin and West Coast.  Dryness continues in the South and extending mixed dry into Northeast.  Only wet of note predicts in Arizona northeast into Colorado, also a wet New Jersey coast.  Otherwise precipitation predicts near average east of Rockies with tendency to low side.

 

prec212_201109R1-16

Press Release: Dynamic Predictables 201109 OUTLOOK issued 3 PM CDT 20110816

Dynamic Predictables releases for pubic use their Atlas First Stage predictions for 30-day mean temperature and cumulative precipitation on the Tuesday prior to the third Thursday of each preceding month. Graphics with pattern and trend information for the United States NCDC climate divisions can be viewed at: http://www.dynamicpredictables.com

201109 temperatures predict Above Average for southern Great Plains and high average to Above Average for the continental US east of the Continental Divide.  Only interior Southwest shows spotted coolness. 

September 2011 precipitation predicts continued dryness for Great Basin and West Coast.  Dryness continues in the South and extending mixed dry into Northeast.  Only wet of note predicts in Arizona northeast into Colorado, also a wet New Jersey coast.  Otherwise precipitation predicts near average east of Rockies with dry tendency.

** All areas have a prediction. There is no default to climatology (EC), i.e. an equal likelihood of ABOVE AVERAGE, NEAR AVERAGE, and BELOW AVERAGE.**

DYNAPRED 1STSTAGE (SEASONAL) MODEL SEPTEMBER 201109

ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP   ST   TMP PCP        

WA    A   A    OR W  A   D    OR E  A   D         

CA CO A   D    CA IN A   D    ID    A   D         

NV    A   A    MT    C   W    AZ    A   W         

WY    C   A    UT    A   A    CO    A   W         

NM    A   A    ND    A   A    SD    A   A         

NE    W   A    KS    W   A                        

OK    W   D    TX    W   D    MN    A   A         

IA    A   A    MO    A   A    AR    A   D         

LA    A   D    WI    A   A    IL    A   A         

MS    A   D    OH    W   D    KY    W   D         

MI    A   A    IN    A   A                        

TN    A   D    AL    A   D    NY    W   A         

VT    W   A    NH    A   A    ME    W   A         

MA    W   A    CT    A   A    RI    A   A         

PA    A   W    NJ    A   W                        

WV    W   D    MD    A   A    DE    A   A         

VA    A   A    NC    A   A    SC    A   A         

GA    A   D    FL    A   A                        

                 LEGEND                  
  TEMP TO NORMAL         PCPN   TO MEDIAN       
  W -ABOVE (WARM)        W – ABOVE (WET)      
  A –NEAR AVERAGE        A – NEAR AVERAGE     
  C -BELOW (COOL)        D – BELOW (DRY)        
Contact:   GREGG SUHLER at 1-573-815-0520 or
SUHLERG@DYNAPRED.COM
or AL PETERLIN  at 1-717-731-8804 and
Al.Peterlin@dynapred.com.

October 201109 Temperature and Precipitation Atlas First-Stage Predictions will be released on Tuesday September 13, 2011 at 3PM CDT (2000GMT).

 

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